Description: 2021 ImpACT Conference - Session 13E: Managing Cognitive Bias in ERM Processes 10.29.21 Recording

Description: Actuaries are increasingly being asked to incorporate Economic Scenario Generators into their work. Whether it be a Risk Neutral model for pricing or a Real-World version for Economic Capital modelling, using these tools can help produce a much more robust analysis. Unfortunately, these models and their underpinnings are also very complicated, which can lead to confusion. The presenters in this session will try to demystify some of this. In particular, they will address the following questions: • What is the difference between Real-World and Risk Neutral scenarios? • When should I use one or the other? • How are these models calibrated? • What are some of the misconceptions about these models?

Description: This is the SOA website page displaying the table of contents for Risk Management: The Current Financial Crisis, Lessons Learned and Future Implications series of essays.

Description: This session will present results of the most recent SOA/LIMRA studies of variable and fixed-indexed annuity policyholder behavior including withdrawal behavior, guaranteed living benefit elections and surrender activity. Conducted annually since 2006, a discussion on the results of these studies show how they have changed over time, as well as areas where the analysis will need to change or expand. After that, the presenters will focus on dynamic lapse for hot money businesses, which is an important topic for fixed deferred annuity. Key takeaways from this area will include an understanding how to differentiate between hot money and warm money, the different formulas used in the industry, and how to adjust an asset portfolio to protect against the risks associated with hot money businesses.

Description: This report summarizes a study that estimates the total economic burden of the opioid crisis in the United States from 2015 through 2018 and projects future costs of the opioid epidemic for 2019.

Description: Many drugs, like the immunologic drugs used to treat inflammatory and oncologic conditions, are FDA-authorized to treat more than one condition. Given different conditions have varying clinical outcomes and costs, it is likely the same drug provides a range of value across multiple conditions. However, such drugs have traditionally had a single list price and corresponding payer net cost. Indication-based pricing and benefit design (IBPBD) is intended to address the variable clinical and economic value for the same drug across multiple treatment indications. As this trend continues to evolve, the determination of drug value by treatment indication will create risks and/or opportunities in pharmacy benefit design, ultimately impacting pharmacy PMPM forecasting and incurred costs. Learn from faculty as they: Provide the business context for IBPBD. Describe varying structural approaches. Discuss the market conditions that can motivate or demotivate payers. Explore operational barriers. Recommend a role for actuaries. To bring the discussion to life, a case study will be reviewed. By attending the session, you will be able to: • Describe the meaning of Indication-Based Drug Pricing and Benefit Design (IDPBD). • Understand the risks and opportunities with IBPBD. • Articulate the advantages and disadvantages of distinguishing the value of a drug by treatment indications.

Description: A collection of essays written on the current financial crisis, lessons learned and future implications.

Description: Explore cutting-edge advancements in virtual care, including remote patient monitoring and care delivery in the metaverse, which build on the foundation that pandemic-era telehealth built. Gain a deep understanding of how these innovations are set to shape the future of telehealth and healthcare more broadly. By attending the session, you will be equipped with a roadmap of the key trends and opportunities in virtual care, and be able to identify potential challenges and solutions for their own organizations in leveraging these new tools.

Description: Delve into the factors contributing to the rapid growth of high-cost medical treatments and how payers can manage the financial exposure that comes with them. Learn about the current and near-future state of million-dollar medical costs, as well as the trends shaping the industry. By attending the session, you will have a better understanding of the underlying drivers of high-cost treatments and will be equipped with practical strategies for mitigating their financial impact, including risk management techniques, cost containment measures, and new payment models. Additionally, you will be able to identify key considerations for implementing these strategies in their own organizations.

Description: Appendix G is the listing of participants from the Delphi Report. Please see the SOA website Research section for the full Delphi Study of Economic Variables Report and all of the appendices.